In Q1 2025, the equity market showed strong gains in January and February but dipped in March. Top performers included Trans-Century (+114%) and Home Afrika (+79%), while Kenya Orchards (-29%) and Kenya Airways (-27%) led declines. Investment and insurance sectors excelled.
Introduction and Background
The trends in the equity securities market during the first quarter of 2025, which ran from January 16 to March 28, will be displayed in this report.
Data and Analysis
a) Top 5 Performing Stocks
Based on cumulative change, the top 5 performing stocks are:
Company
Cumulative Change (%)
Trans-Century Plc (Investment)
+114.02
Home Afrika Ltd (Investment)
+79.10
E.A. Cables Ltd (Construction)
+76.72
Uchumi Supermarket Plc (Commercial)
+72.37
Sanlam Kenya Plc (Insurance)
+55.73
b) Bottom 5 Performing Stocks
The bottom 5 performing stocks are:
Company
Cumulative Change (%)
Kenya Orchards Ltd (Manufacturing & Allied)
-29.27
Kenya Airways Ltd (Commercial)
-27.27
Car & General (K) Ltd (Auto-Mobiles)
-12.91
I&M Group Plc (Banking)
-5.63
TPS Eastern Africa Ltd (Commercial)
-5.55
Month-Wise Analysis
The average changes by month are as follows:
– January: +6.96
– February: +6.12
– March: -0.44
Analysis:
Sector-Wise Summary:
1) Investment Services: This sector shows the highest cumulative growth, primarily driven by the Nairobi Securities Exchange. This indicates strong performance in the broader financial market.
2) Insurance: This sector also shows positive growth, with Sanlam Kenya being a major contributor. This suggests a healthy insurance sector.
3) Construction: East African Portland Cement's strong performance indicates potential growth in the construction sector.
4) Banking: While some banks show positive growth, others show negative growth, indicating a mixed performance in this sector.
5) Agricultural: This sector generally shows negative performance, with tea companies struggling.
Period-Wise (Monthly) Summary:
+ January: The month shows a mix of positive and negative changes across sectors. Notably, Sanlam Kenya had a significant increase in January.
+ February: This month generally shows more positive changes compared to January, with several stocks showing substantial gains.
+ March: The performance is mixed, with some stocks showing positive growth and others showing negative growth.
Cumulative: The cumulative change highlights the overall trend over the three months. Investment Services and Insurance sectors show the highest positive growth, while the Agricultural sector shows the most significant negative growth.
Summary:
– Top Performers: Investment and manufacturing sectors contributed significantly to the top-performing stocks (e.g., Trans-Century Plc and E.A. Cables Ltd).
– Bottom Performers: Transportation-related companies like Kenya Airways Ltd and Kenya Orchards Ltd were among the worst performers.
– Monthly Trends: Positive growth was observed in January and February, but March showed a downturn, which could indicate broader market challenges during that period.
This research examines how emerging technologies—AI-driven personalization, gamification, mobile-first design, and behavioral nudging—can revolutionize Kenya's financial education landscape. The analysis reveals opportunities to embed financial literacy directly into mobile money infrastructure, creating contextualized learning moments that serve both digitally native users and populations
Sameer Africa and Home Afrika led gains, while Umeme and Kenya Airways declined sharply. Investment and Insurance sectors outperformed, but Banking and REITs lagged. Market gains were concentrated in few stocks, signaling volatility. Investors are advised to diversify, favor strong sectors and review fundamentals before entry.
Kenya’s 2025 real estate market is shaped by rapid urbanization, infrastructure growth and a 2M-unit housing deficit. Key trends include green homes, smart buildings, e-commerce-driven logistics, satellite town growth and mixed-use projects. Opportunities lie in affordable housing, land and hospitality, though risks include oversupply, financing hurdles and economic volatility.