Kenyan fintechs that have included or depend on cryptocurrency may face severe consequences in the event of a major Bitcoin meltdown in 2025. Reduced transaction volumes, a drop in user confidence in digital assets, and direct monetary losses on Bitcoin holdings are just a few possible effects.
This is a survival guide for three hypothetical situations. Fintech companies in Kenya with differing degrees of Bitcoin exposure:
- Kotani Pay, BitConnect Kenya: Heavily invested in Bitcoin-related services (e.g., Bitcoin wallets, exchanges)
Immediate Actions:
- Halt Bitcoin-related promotions and onboarding.
- Communicate transparently with users about the crash.
- Conduct a thorough audit of company and user Bitcoin holdings.
- Temporarily implement strict withdrawal limits to prevent bank run scenarios.
Medium-Term Strategies:
- Diversify service offerings: Focus on non-Bitcoin related fintech services like mobile money transfers, bill payments or lending products.
- Explore stablecoin integration: Integrate stablecoins pegged to stable fiat currencies like Kenyan Shilling or US Dollar.
- Offer financial literacy programs: Promote responsible investment practices and educate users about cryptocurrency risks.
- Seek alternative funding: Explore traditional venture capital or partnerships with established financial institutions.
Long-term strategies:
- Leverage blockchain technology for secure data storage and digital identity solutions.
- Advocate for clear, balanced regulations with Kenyan regulators for a stable, trustworthy environment.
- IntaSend, Bitpesa: Integrates Bitcoin as a payment option alongside traditional methods like M-pesa
Immediate Actions:
- Temporarily suspend Bitcoin payment processing until market stabilizes.
- Communicate with merchants and users about Bitcoin payment suspension.
- Re-evaluate and strengthen risk management protocols related to cryptocurrency exposure.
Medium-Term Strategies:
- Re-evaluate Bitcoin payment viability post-market stabilization.
- Prioritize core payment services like mobile money and card payments.
- Explore stablecoin payments partnerships for less volatile digital asset payment options.
Long-Term Vision:
- Adopt flexible payment gateway for new digital payment methods.
- Monitor global cryptocurrency trends for informed digital asset integration decisions.
- Tala, PesaPal: Minimal or no direct exposure to Bitcoin, primarily focused on mobile lending and financial inclusion
Immediate Actions:
- Monitor indirect impacts: Economic downturn affects loan repayment ability.
- Reinforce core business: Strengthen lending and financial inclusion services. Ensure robust credit assessment and collection processes.
Medium-Term Strategies:
- Capitalize on market uncertainty: Position fintech as a stable alternative during cryptocurrency market turmoil.
- Explore partnerships with distressed crypto firms cautiously: Potential user acquisition or technology integration at favorable terms, with thorough due diligence
Long-Term Vision:
- Continue focus on financial inclusion, leveraging technology for accessible financial services.
- Diversify funding sources to mitigate risks associated with single asset class or investor type.
General survival strategies if a bitcoin crash (infographic)